Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2023 at 1am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 2
St Louis City

Puig (53' pen., 53' pen., 53' pen.), Sharp (82', 82', 82')
Mavinga (50'), Mavinga (50'), Mavinga (50'), Cuevas (90+2'), Cuevas (90+2'), Cuevas (90+3'), Cuevas (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Adeniran (4', 4', 4'), Klauss (28', 28', 28')
Nilsson (22'), Nilsson (22'), Nilsson (22'), Adeniran (52'), Adeniran (52'), Adeniran (52'), Markanich (82'), Markanich (82'), Markanich (82'), Hiebert (85'), Hiebert (85'), Hiebert (85')
Adeniran (60'), Adeniran (60'), Adeniran (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-0 Houston
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	St Louis City
63.47% ( -0.74)	19.21% ( 0.35)	17.33% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.34% (

-0.96)

34.66% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.39% (

-1.09)

56.61% (

1.09)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58% (

-0.45)

10.42% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.02% (

-1.05)

33.97% (

1.05)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

-0.16)

33.2% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

-0.18)

69.81% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 63.47%

St Louis City 17.33%

Draw 19.21%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.13% Total : 63.47%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 17.33%