Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
2 - 3
Kansas

Vera (81', 81'), Savarino (89', 89')
Vera (57'), Vera (58'), MacMath (90+7'), MacMath (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Thommy (4', 4'), Russell (29', 29'), Pulido (77', 77')
Radoja (38'), Radoja (38'), Melia (90+2'), Melia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 4-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
55.75% ( 0.59)	22.39% ( -0.21)	21.85% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

0.47)

42.71% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

0.47)

65.11% (

-0.48)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

0.36)

15.18% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.19% (

0.68)

43.8% (

-0.68)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-0.09)

33.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-0.09)

69.99% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 55.75%

Sporting Kansas City 21.85%

Draw 22.39%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.85%