Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.