Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
4 - 1
Kansas

Adeniran (73', 73'), Stroud (75', 75'), Klauss (79', 80', 85', 85')
Markanich (41'), Markanich (41'), Parker (87'), Parker (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Agade (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Houston
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
45.2% ( 0.01)	23.06% ( 0.01)	31.74% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 63.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.33% (

-0.05)

37.68% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.09% (

-0.06)

59.92% (

0.06)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-0.02)

17.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7% (

-0.03)

47.3% (

0.03)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.04)

23.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

-0.05)

57.5% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 45.2%

Sporting Kansas City 31.74%

Draw 23.06%

St Louis City	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.18% Total : 45.2%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 31.74%