Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
| 63.93% ( | 19.84% | 16.22% |
| Both teams to score 54.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.18% ( | 39.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% | 62.18% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( | 11.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.98% ( | 37.01% |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% | 37.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% | 74.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.9% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.84% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.22% |