Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
50.74% ( 0.17) | 24.56% ( -0.09) | 24.7% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% ( 0.34) | 49.14% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% ( 0.31) | 71.21% ( -0.31) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% ( 0.2) | 19.37% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.83% ( 0.33) | 51.17% ( -0.33) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( 0.12) | 34.38% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( 0.13) | 71.08% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |