Major League Soccer

Oct 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 3
Houston

Mora (80', 80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74'), McGraw (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67'), Herrera (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Portland
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 5-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
50.74% ( 0.17)	24.56% ( -0.09)	24.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

0.34)

49.14% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

0.31)

71.21% (

-0.31)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

0.2)

19.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83% (

0.33)

51.17% (

-0.33)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

0.12)

34.38% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

0.13)

71.08% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 50.74%

Houston Dynamo 24.7%

Draw 24.56%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.7%