Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
4 - 1
Portland

Sunusi (28', 28'), Opoku (35', 35'), Choiniere (64', 64'), Toye (76', 76')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Boli (86', 86')
Acosta (53'), Acosta (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Houston
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-3 Portland
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Portland Timbers
50.24% ( 0.07)	24.64% ( -0.07)	25.12% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.89% (

0.28)

49.11% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.82% (

0.25)

71.18% (

-0.24)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.14)

19.56% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.22)

51.48% (

-0.22)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.15)

34% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

0.16)

70.68% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 50.24%

Portland Timbers 25.12%

Draw 24.63%

CF Montreal	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.12%