Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 3
Portland

Zavaleta (10', 10', 45+1', 45+1'), Costa (43', 43')
Delgado (13'), Delgado (13'), Yoshida (54'), Yoshida (54')

FT(HT: 6-4)

Moreno (5', 5'), Zavaleta (38' og., 38' og.), Mora (76', 76')
Moreno (62'), Moreno (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 3-3 LA Galaxy
Monday, September 25 at 5.25am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.47%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Portland Timbers
59.47% ( 0.44)	20.19% ( -0.18)	20.33% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 62.03% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.59% (

0.54)

34.41% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.68% (

0.6)

56.32% (

-0.6)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.63% (

0.29)

11.37% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.91% (

0.62)

36.08% (

-0.61)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

0.09)

30.02% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

0.1)

66.14% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.47%

Portland Timbers 20.33%

Draw 20.19%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.47%	1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.19%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 20.33%