Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Paredes (45+3', 45+3'), Evander (58', 58')
Paredes (41'), Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+9'), Bingham (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoppe (60', 60')
Marie (32'), Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2'), Espinoza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
61.46% ( -0.1)	20.71% ( 0.04)	17.83% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.39% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

-0.12)

40.94% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

-0.12)

63.33% (

0.12)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.16% (

-0.07)

12.84% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.81% (

-0.14)

39.18% (

0.13)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

-0.01)

36.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

-0.01)

73.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 61.46%

San Jose Earthquakes 17.83%

Draw 20.71%

Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 61.46%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.83%