Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 54.42% ( | 21.63% | 23.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.32% ( | 36.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( | 58.84% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( | 13.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( | 40.64% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% | 63.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.44% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.22% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-1 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.49% Total : 23.96% |