Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
5 - 1
Colorado

Quinones (3', 3', 28', 28'), Bassi (8', 9'), Baird (41', 41'), Artur (84', 84')
Dorsey (48'), Dorsey (48')

FT(HT: 8-0)

Bassett (53', 53')
Rubio (28'), Abubakar (57'), Abubakar (57'), Bassett (63'), Bassett (63'), Priso-Mbongue (86'), Priso-Mbongue (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Houston
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Colorado Rapids

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Austin
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Colorado Rapids
68.48% ( 0.26)	18.46% ( -0.14)	13.06% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.67% (

0.35)

40.33% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.29% (

0.36)

62.71% (

-0.36)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.25% (

0.16)

10.75% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.28% (

0.37)

34.72% (

-0.37)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67% (

0.03)

42.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28% (

0.03)

78.72% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 68.47%

Colorado Rapids 13.06%

Draw 18.46%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.18% Total : 68.47%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.46%	0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.06%