Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
68.48% ( 0.26) | 18.46% ( -0.14) | 13.06% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% ( 0.35) | 40.33% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.29% ( 0.36) | 62.71% ( -0.36) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% ( 0.16) | 10.75% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.28% ( 0.37) | 34.72% ( -0.37) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.67% ( 0.03) | 42.33% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.28% ( 0.03) | 78.72% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.18% Total : 68.47% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.46% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |