Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colorado Rapids in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
| 46.5% ( | 25.3% ( | 28.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( | 49.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( | 71.73% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( | 54.38% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( | 31.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( | 68.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |