Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 51.84% ( | 23.79% ( | 24.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( | 46.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( | 17.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.45% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 24.37% |