Major League Soccer

Nov 11, 2023 at 11pm UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Baird (28')
Baird (20')

FT
(aet)

Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')

Houston win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-1 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 7 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-1 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 7 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.87%).

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
62.21% ( 0.11)	20.1% ( -0.04)	17.69% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.28% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.67% (

0.07)

38.32% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.39% (

0.07)

60.61% (

-0.06)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.17% (

0.05)

11.82% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.93% (

0.11)

37.07% (

-0.1)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96% (

-0.04)

35.03% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

-0.04)

71.78% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 62.21%

Real Salt Lake 17.69%

Draw 20.1%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 62.21%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.1%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 17.69%