Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
43.8% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 29.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% (![]() | 55.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% (![]() | 76.48% (![]() |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% (![]() | 59.73% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% (![]() | 33.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% (![]() | 70.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.75% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 53 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 30 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 27 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
13 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 25 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 49 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 37 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Dallas | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 24 |
13 | St Louis City | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 14 |