CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cibao
Nashville

Moca
0 - 3
Nashville

FT(HT: 0-4)
Williams (12', 12'), Surridge (24', 24'), Boyd (75', 75')
Bunbury (82'), Bunbury (82')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Moca and Nashville SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moca

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Wednesday, November 8 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Moca had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.17%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Moca win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
MocaDrawNashville SC
9.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)19.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.82% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (0.061 0.06)53.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (0.052 0.05)74.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Moca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.91% (0.075000000000003 0.08)56.08% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.48% (0.044 0.04)88.52% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)13.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Moca 9.87%
    Nashville SC 70.55%
    Draw 19.56%
MocaDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 4.5%
2-1 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 9.87%
1-1 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 15.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 15.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 9.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 70.55%