CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 29, 2024 at 2.15am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
4 - 0
Moca

(Nashville SC win 7-0 on aggregate)

Gaines (13', 13'), Ajago (38', 38', 53', 53'), Joel Dabas Perez (45' og.), Shaffelburg (45')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Rafael Jimenez Burgos (82'), Rafael Jimenez Burgos (82'), Jimenez (82'), Rafael Jimenez Burgos (82')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Nashville SC and Moca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Moca

All competitions

Last Game: Moca 0-3 Nashville
Friday, February 23 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Moca had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Moca win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Moca
71.85% ( -0.27)	16.78% ( 0.07)	11.37% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

0.23)

36.76% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07% (

0.25)

58.93% (

-0.25)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.01% (

-0)

8.99% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.36% (

-0.01)

30.64% (

0.01)

Moca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.26% (

0.5)

42.74% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.93% (

0.43)

79.07% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 71.84%

Moca 11.37%

Draw 16.78%

Nashville SC	Draw	Moca
2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 71.84%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.78%	1-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.37%