Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.