Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Houston1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls
Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.32% ( -0.79) | 25.08% ( 0.33) | 22.6% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
