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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.32% (-0.79 -0.79) 25.08% (0.332 0.33) 22.6% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.844 -0.84)53.14% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.722 -0.72)74.71% (0.717 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.652 -0.65)20.3% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-1.046 -1.05)52.67% (1.04 1.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 52.31%
    New York Red Bulls 22.6%
    Draw 25.08%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: Houston vs NY Red Bulls

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2020 11pm
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Houston
4-0
NY Red Bulls
Manotas (39'), Martinez (56'), Elis (72', 94')
Quioto (41'), DeLaGarza (70')
Figueroa (94')

Murillo (44'), Duncan (63'), Casseres (68')
Murillo (83'), Romero (94')
Aug 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 31
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Houston
White (55')

Leonardo (89')
Apr 2, 2017 1.30am
Houston
4-1
NY Red Bulls
Remick (14'), Torres (41' pen., 56', 91')
Remick (70'), Torres (87')
Wright-Phillips (13')
Lade (28'), Adams (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932499011
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Houston DynamoHouston841398113
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
7St Louis City92611514112
8Austin FCAustin93331213-112
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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