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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Dec 3, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles
2 - 0
Houston
Hollingshead (44'), Escobar (80' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Escobar (45+3'), Herrera (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-1 Los Angeles
Monday, November 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-0 Houston Dynamo

The quality of an in-form Bouanga, along with the top-class goalkeeping of Crepeau, could be what separates these two evenly matched sides. As strong as Houston are in the middle of the field, they do not have anyone in the attacking third with the finishing ability of a Bouanga.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
61.74% (0.058 0.06) 20.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 18.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.62% (0.007000000000005 0.01)38.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)11.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (0.037999999999997 0.04)37.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)34.7% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)71.43% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 61.75%
    Houston Dynamo 18.02%
    Draw 20.24%
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.24%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Houston

Los Angeles FC
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Houston Dynamo
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-1
Houston

Biuk (22'), Sanchez (27'), Palacios (89')
Opoku (79')
Micael (23')
Clark (64'), Artur (76'), Baird (90+2'), Steres (90+3'), Sviatchenko (90+2')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-0
Los Angeles
Quinones (11'), Bassi (50' pen.), Baird (69'), Escobar (89')
Clark (53'), Escobar (79'), Baird (81')

Cifuentes (32')
Sep 19, 2022 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-1
Houston
Vela (8' pen., 45+4' pen.), Hollingshead (52')
Baird (24')
Jun 20, 2021 4am
Gameweek 11
Los Angeles
1-1
Houston
Cifuentes (50')
Urruti (58')
Parker (17'), Vera (30'), Picault (71')
rhs 2.0
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