Major League Soccer

Dec 3, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
2 - 0
Houston

Hollingshead (44', 44'), Escobar (80' og., 80' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Escobar (45+3'), Escobar (45+3'), Herrera (71'), Herrera (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 0-1 Los Angeles
Monday, November 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
61.74% ( 0.06)	20.24% ( -0.02)	18.02% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.49% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.62% (

0.01)

38.38% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.34% (

0.01)

60.67% (

-0)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.04% (

0.02)

11.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.63% (

0.04)

37.37% (

-0.03)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

-0.04)

34.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-0.04)

71.43% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 61.75%

Houston Dynamo 18.02%

Draw 20.24%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.75%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.24%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.02%