Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.