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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Houston
1 - 1
Kansas

Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City

While Houston got the better of Kansas in that huge encounter in the playoffs last season, a more reserved encounter could be in store with much less riding on proceedings. Both sides will want a positive start to get their campaign underway though, but the hosts need to prove they can cope with life after Baird following a defeat in continental action in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
56.23% (0.059000000000005 0.06) 22.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 21.11% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)44.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.29% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.04% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.22%
    Sporting Kansas City 21.11%
    Draw 22.66%
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56%
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.11%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Kansas
1-0
Houston
Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932499011
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Houston DynamoHouston841398113
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
7St Louis City92611514112
8Austin FCAustin93331213-112
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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