Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 1
Kansas

Smith (42'), Segal (69', 69')
Olsen (58'), Olsen (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thommy (61', 61')
Russell (57'), Russell (57'), Thommy (67'), Thommy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
56.23% ( 0.06)	22.66% ( -0.02)	21.11% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

-0)

44.85% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79%

67.21% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24% (

0.02)

15.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11% (

0.04)

44.89% (

-0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71% (

-0.05)

35.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.05)

72.04% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 56.22%

Sporting Kansas City 21.11%

Draw 22.66%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.22%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.11%