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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Houston
1 - 1
Kansas

Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Kansas
Monday, November 27 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City

While Houston got the better of Kansas in that huge encounter in the playoffs last season, a more reserved encounter could be in store with much less riding on proceedings. Both sides will want a positive start to get their campaign underway though, but the hosts need to prove they can cope with life after Baird following a defeat in continental action in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
56.23% (0.059000000000005 0.06) 22.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 21.11% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79%67.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)44.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.29% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.04% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.22%
    Sporting Kansas City 21.11%
    Draw 22.66%
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56%
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.11%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Kansas
1-0
Houston
Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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