Major League Soccer

Oct 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Russell (28', 78'), Walter (31', 31')
Davis (85'), Davis (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Boxall (82', 82')
Trapp (53'), Taylor (66'), Boxall (68'), Boxall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 Kansas
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 5-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Minnesota United
59.75% ( 0.07)	20.93% ( 0.2)	19.33% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.52% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.51% (

-1.34)

39.48% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17% (

-1.41)

61.82% (

1.41)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.4)

12.87% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.73% (

-0.83)

39.27% (

0.83)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

-1.05)

33.97% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

-1.15)

70.65% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 59.75%

Minnesota United 19.33%

Draw 20.93%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.75%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.93%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.33%