Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 3.30am
5
1
HT : 6 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Denis Bouanga 6' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 6' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 36' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 36' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+1' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+1' goal
  • Miguel Tapias 46' goal
  • Miguel Tapias 46' goal
  • Filip Krastev 67' goal
  • Filip Krastev 67' goal
  • goal Hassani Dotson 4'
  • goal Hassani Dotson 4'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 39'

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 1.00am
Los Angeles 0 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result

Los Angeles FC 65.13% (-0.04)
Draw 18.7% (+0.03)
Minnesota United 16.17% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.59% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 34.41% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 43.67% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 56.33% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 25.16% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 74.83% (+0.09)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 9.94% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 67.12% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 32.88% (+0.08)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 65.65% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.35% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 28.94% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 71.05% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 65.13%
Draw 18.7%
Minnesota United 16.17%
Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.88% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.42% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.7%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.65% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 16.17%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Emanuel Reynoso 24' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 24' goal
  • goal Carlos Vela 21'
  • goal Carlos Vela 21'
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brent Kallman 45' goal
  • goal Carlos Vela 64'
Major League Soccer
May 2, 2022 3.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Hollingshead 82' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 83' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90' goal
  • yellowcard Bakaye Dibassy 69'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 24, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Wil Trapp 32' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 56' yellowcard
  • Osvaldo Alonso 65' goal
  • Bakaye Dibassy 88' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Arango 32'
  • yellowcard Jesus Murillo 63'
  • yellowcard Jose Cifuentes 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Jul 29, 2021 3.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Vela 40' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 77' goal
  • goal Emanuel Reynoso 49'
  • yellowcard Bakaye Dibassy 59'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 67'
  • goal Hassani Dotson 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Jul 12, 2020 11.00pm