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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.89% (-1.173 -1.17) 20.89% (0.242 0.24) 21.22% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.181 0.18)36.54% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.196 0.2)58.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.27 -0.27)12.47% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.576 -0.58)38.44% (0.581 0.58)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.965 0.97)30.45% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (1.133 1.13)66.66% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 57.89%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
    Draw 20.89%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
May 19, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
LA Galaxy
3-3
Minnesota Utd
Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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