Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Hassani Dotson 33' goal
  • Hassani Dotson 33' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 45' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 45' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 60' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 60' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 67' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 67' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 76' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 76' goal
  • goal Tyler Boyd 41'
  • goal Tyler Boyd 41'
  • yellowcard Maya Yoshida 50'
  • yellowcard Maya Yoshida 50'
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 82'
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 82'

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles 5 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 3.30am
Seattle 2 - 1 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tyler Boyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result

Minnesota United 57.89% (-1.18)
Draw 20.89% (+0.25)
Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22% (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.88% (+0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.47% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 36.54% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 41.32% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 58.68% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 23.21% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 76.79% (-0.16)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 87.53% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 12.47% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 61.56% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 38.44% (+0.59)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 69.55% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 30.45% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 33.35% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 66.66% (-1.13)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 57.89%
Draw 20.89%
Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.26)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
Los Angeles Galaxy
1-2 @ 5.59% (+0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.69% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-98.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
4
3
HT : 2 6
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Billy Sharp 16' goal
  • Billy Sharp 16' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 54' yellowcard
  • Tyler Boyd 54' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 63' goal
  • Billy Sharp 63' goal
  • Billy Sharp 67' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 67' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 71' goal
  • Billy Sharp 71' goal
  • Marco Delgado 81' yellowcard
  • Marco Delgado 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Fagundez 82' goal
  • Diego Fagundez 82' goal
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 19'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 19'
  • yellowcard Miguel Tapias 27'
  • yellowcard Miguel Tapias 27'
  • yellowcard Jan Gregus 28'
  • yellowcard Jan Gregus 28'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 29'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 29'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 41'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 41'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 45'+5'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ethan Briston 54'
  • yellowcard Ethan Briston 54'
  • redcard Ethan Briston 74'
  • redcard Ethan Briston 74'
  • yellowcard Ismael Tajouri 88'
  • yellowcard Ismael Tajouri 88'
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Kevin Cabral 25' redcard
  • Marco Delgado 60' goal
  • Derrick Williams 70' yellowcard
  • Dejan Joveljic 90'+3' goal
  • Douglas Costa 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Emanuel Reynoso 9'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 20'
  • goal Franco Fragapane 36'
  • yellowcard Franco Fragapane 41'
  • goal Emanuel Reynoso 43'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 85'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 90'+4'
  • redcard Joseph Rosales 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Boxall 35' yellowcard
  • Kervin Arriaga 41' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 87' goal
  • yellowcard Rayan Raveloson 2'
  • goal Sacha Kljestan 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 11.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Julian Araujo 41' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Lletget 45'+2' goal
  • Javier Hernandez 52' goal
  • Javier Hernandez 75' goal
  • yellowcard Bakaye Dibassy 2'
  • goal Adrien Hunou 24'
  • goal Robin Lod 35'
  • goal Julian Araujo 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Sep 19, 2021 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Emanuel Reynoso 4' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 20' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 66' goal
  • Jacori Hayes 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 50'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2021 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chase Gasper 8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 25'
  • goal Kevin Cabral 43'
  • yellowcard Kevin Cabral 64'
  • yellowcard Victor Vazquez 90'