Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.94%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 56.44% | 22.85% | 20.71% |
| Both teams to score 53.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% | 46.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% | 68.45% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% | 16.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% | 45.6% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% | 36.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% | 73.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.71% |