Major League Soccer

Oct 22, 2023 at 2am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Austin

Espinoza (17', 17')
Tsakiris (22'), Tsakiris (22'), Espinoza (72'), Espinoza (72'), Espinoza (72')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Wolff (32', 32', 32')
Valencia (66'), Valencia (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-4 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
54.98% ( -0.05)	22.45% ( -0.01)	22.57% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.33% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

0.13)

42.1% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5% (

0.13)

64.5% (

-0.12)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

0.03)

15.23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

0.05)

43.89% (

-0.05)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

0.13)

32.37% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.14)

68.89% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.98%

Austin FC 22.57%

Draw 22.44%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.98%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.57%