CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2024 at 2.15am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
FC Cincinnati

Monterrey
2 - 1
Cincinnati

Romo (41', 41'), Vazquez (67', 67')
Arteaga (84'), Arteaga (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Acosta (47', 47')
Murphy (43'), Murphy (43'), Pinto (87'), Pinto (87'), Valenzuela (90+1'), Valenzuela (90+1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Monterrey and FC Cincinnati.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawFC Cincinnati
56.07% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)22.11% (0.139 0.14)21.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.767 -0.77)41.47% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.782 -0.78)63.87% (0.783 0.78)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)14.66% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.2% (-0.526 -0.53)42.8% (0.526 0.53)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.526 -0.53)32.7% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (-0.594 -0.59)69.25% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56.07%
    FC Cincinnati 21.83%
    Draw 22.1%
MonterreyDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Monterrey vs Cincinnati

Monterrey
100%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cincinnati
0-1
Monterrey

Nwobodo (26'), Baird (45+3')
Vazquez (24')
Rodriguez (55'), Vegas (64')
Aguirre (70')
rhs 2.0


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