Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 50.37% | 24.19% | 25.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( | 46.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( | 69.23% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% | 18.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( | 32.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( | 69.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.37% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.44% |