Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.