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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
New York City

St Louis City
2 - 0
NY City

Pompeu (34', 34'), Adeniran (72', 72')
Markanich (21'), Markanich (21'), Vassilev (41'), Vassilev (41'), Totland (45+3'), Totland (45+3'), Durkin (82'), Durkin (82'), Ostrak (90'), Ostrak (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perea (28'), Perea (28'), Sands (51'), Sands (51'), Ilencic (88'), Ilencic (88')
Sands (82'), Sands (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawNew York City FC
39.21% (-0.231 -0.23)26.81% (0.204 0.2)33.97% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.641 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.817 -0.82)53.81% (0.817 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.691 -0.69)75.28% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)26.81% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.671 -0.67)62.1% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)29.94% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.468 -0.47)66.05% (0.46900000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 39.2%
    New York City FC 33.97%
    Draw 26.81%
St Louis CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.97%