Major League Soccer

Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 2
Portland

Rodriguez (10')
Rodriguez (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Antony (85'), Evander (90+7')
McGraw (19'), Paredes (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
45.22% ( -0.04)	25.51% ( 0.01)	29.26% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

-0.04)

50.02% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

-0.03)

72% (

0.03)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.03)

22.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.05)

55.45% (

0.04)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

-0)

31.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

-0)

67.59% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 45.22%

Portland Timbers 29.26%

Draw 25.51%

New York City FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.26%