Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 49.32% ( | 22.93% ( | 27.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( | 39.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( | 61.79% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( | 16.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( | 45.75% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( | 26.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( | 62.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.74% |