Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
32.59% ( -0.56)	26.03% ( 0.22)	41.37% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

-1.07)

50.89% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

-0.95)

72.77% (

0.94)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

-0.89)

29.39% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-1.1)

65.38% (

1.09)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

-0.3)

24.33% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.28% (

-0.43)

58.72% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 32.59%

Monterrey 41.37%

Draw 26.02%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.59%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.37%