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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 24, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
1 - 1
Pachuca

Zendejas (12')
Zendejas (39'), Jardine (40'), Lichnovsky (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Micolta (40')
Rodriguez (48'), Sanchez (58'), Berlanga (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Club America and Pachuca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Club America 2-1 Pachuca

This is a tough one to call as both sides have experience and boast a lot of attacking quality, but in the end, we believe home-field advantage and the recent experience of America in these big spots will propel them to a narrow victory against a strong defensive unit, who have a history of beginning these ties poorly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
51.52% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 22.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)41.26% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)63.66% (0.061 0.06)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)16.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)45.53% (0.055 0.05)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)29.46% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club America 51.52%
    Pachuca 25.55%
    Draw 22.93%
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: America vs Pachuca

Club America
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Pachuca
18.5%
27
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 1am
Gameweek 7
Pachuca
2-1
America
Sanchez (56', 76')
Cabral (29'), Berlanga (80'), Pedraza (80'), Sanchez (90+5')
Quinones (66')
Lichnovsky (81')
Oct 4, 2023 4am
Gameweek 11
America
4-0
Pachuca
Martin (42'), Zendejas (59'), Quinones (87'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Juarez (21'), Fidalgo (54')

Cabral (41'), Montiel (51'), Sanchez (90+1')
Mar 5, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
America
0-3
Pachuca
Lopez (4'), Hernandez (10'), De la Rosa (28')
Aug 18, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Pachuca
0-3
America
Ibanez (10'), Tapias (20'), Hernandez (71')
Ibarra (42')
Valdez (28'), Lara (90')
May 23, 2022 2.06am
rhs 2.0
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