MX23RW : Tuesday, April 23 18:52:58| >> :600:90689:90689:
New England Revolution
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 4
America


Polster (20'), Vrioni (44'), Mensah (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martin (16'), Zendejas (24'), Calderon (63'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Calderon (44')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between New England Revolution and Club America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawClub America
32.94% (-1.42 -1.42) 23.06% (-0.374 -0.37) 44% (1.788 1.79)
Both teams to score 64.02% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (1.381 1.38)37.13% (-1.388 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (1.478 1.48)59.33% (-1.485 -1.49)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.128 -0.13)22.54% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.186 -0.19)56.11% (0.18 0.18)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (1.293 1.29)17.35% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.25% (2.222 2.22)47.75% (-2.228 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 32.94%
    Club America 44%
    Draw 23.05%
New England RevolutionDrawClub America
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.283 0.28)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.202 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.213 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.153 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 44%

rhs 2.0
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4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
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