Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.