New England Revolution
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 2am UK
Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 4
America


Polster (20'), Polster (20'), Vrioni (44'), Vrioni (44'), Mensah (60'), Mensah (60')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Martin (16', 16'), Zendejas (24', 24'), Calderon (63', 63'), Rodriguez (90+1', 90+1')
Calderon (44'), Calderon (44')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between New England Revolution and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Club America

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: America 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 30 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawClub America
32.94% (-1.42 -1.42)23.06% (-0.374 -0.37)44% (1.788 1.79)
Both teams to score 64.02% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (1.381 1.38)37.13% (-1.388 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (1.478 1.48)59.33% (-1.485 -1.49)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.128 -0.13)22.54% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.186 -0.19)56.11% (0.18 0.18)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (1.293 1.29)17.35% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.25% (2.222 2.22)47.75% (-2.228 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 32.94%
    Club America 44%
    Draw 23.05%
New England RevolutionDrawClub America
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-2 @ 6% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.22% (0.283 0.28)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.202 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.213 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.153 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 44%