Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-1)

Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 3-0 Independiente
Friday, March 1 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Toronto
67.98% ( -0.21)	18.62% ( 0.11)	13.4% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

-0.31)

40.23% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

-0.32)

62.6% (

0.32)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.15% (

-0.14)

10.85% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.05% (

-0.31)

34.94% (

0.31)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

-0.06)

41.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

-0.05)

78.22% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 67.98%

Toronto 13.4%

Draw 18.62%

New England Revolution	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.98%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.4%