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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Toronto FC

New England
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto

Recent history suggests the Revs should win comfortably, but Toronto should gain a lot of confidence from their opening match, and they should have chances to score against a Revs defensive line who have not been much better than them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
67.98% (-0.211 -0.21) 18.62% (0.114 0.11) 13.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.312 -0.31)40.23% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.322 -0.32)62.6% (0.32 0.32)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)10.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.313 -0.31)34.94% (0.311 0.31)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)41.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 67.98%
    Toronto 13.4%
    Draw 18.62%
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.4%

How you voted: New England vs Toronto

New England Revolution
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Toronto
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932499011
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Houston DynamoHouston841398113
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
7St Louis City92611514112
8Austin FCAustin93331213-112
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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