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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Toronto FC

New England
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto

Recent history suggests the Revs should win comfortably, but Toronto should gain a lot of confidence from their opening match, and they should have chances to score against a Revs defensive line who have not been much better than them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
67.98% (-0.211 -0.21) 18.62% (0.114 0.11) 13.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.312 -0.31)40.23% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.322 -0.32)62.6% (0.32 0.32)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)10.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.313 -0.31)34.94% (0.311 0.31)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)41.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 67.98%
    Toronto 13.4%
    Draw 18.62%
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.4%

How you voted: New England vs Toronto

New England Revolution
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Toronto
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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