Major League Soccer

Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 1
New England

Almada (45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.), Giakoumakis (55' pen., 55' pen., 60', 60', 74', 74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (83', 83')
Polster (45+1'), Polster (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Atlanta
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 4-0 Alajuelense
Wednesday, March 6 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New England Revolution
49.26% ( 1.62)	22.45% ( 0.11)	28.28% ( -1.74)

Both teams to score 63.43% (

-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.26% (

-1.71)

36.73% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1% (

-1.89)

58.9% (

1.88)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74% (

-0.07)

15.25% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.06% (

-0.13)

43.93% (

0.12)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-1.95)

25.14% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-2.77)

59.85% (

2.77)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 49.26%

New England Revolution 28.28%

Draw 22.45%

Atlanta United	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.26%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.28%