Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 60' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 60' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 74' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 45'+1'
  • goal Carles Gil 83'
  • goal Carles Gil 83'

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 7.00pm
Columbus Crew 1 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Saba Lobzhanidze

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 3, 2024 7.00pm
New England 0 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giacomo Vrioni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 49.26% (+1.63)
Draw 22.45% (+0.12)
New England Revolution 28.28% (-1.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.43% (-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.26% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 36.73% (+1.71)
Over 3.5 41.1% (-1.89)
Under 3.5 58.9% (+1.88)
Over 4.5 23.03% (-1.56)
Under 4.5 76.97% (+1.56)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 84.74% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 15.25% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 56.06% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 43.93% (+0.13)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 74.85% (-1.96)
Under 0.5 25.14% (+1.95)
Over 1.5 40.14% (-2.78)
Under 1.5 59.85% (+2.77)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 49.26%
Draw 22.45%
New England Revolution 28.28%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.22)
1-0 @ 7.21% (+0.58)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.53)
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.25% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.76% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (+0.15)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 49.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 3.84% (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.45%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.22)
0-1 @ 5.3% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Matt Polster 4' goal
  • Matt Polster 4' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 9' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 9' goal
  • Peyton Miller 90'+3' goal
  • goal Machop Chol 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 12.00am
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 56' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Miguel Berry 87' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 1'
  • goal Bobby Wood 37'
  • goal Carles Gil 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giacomo Vrioni 32' goal
  • Gustavo Bou 85' goal
  • goal Josef Martinez 81'
Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Thiago Almada 15' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 63' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 68' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Buksa 30'
  • goal Adam Buksa 55'
  • yellowcard Thomas McNamara 87'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Jul 17, 2021 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Franco 69' yellowcard
  • Jackson Conway 75' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Bou 18'
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Brandon Bye 19' goal
  • Carles Gil 53' goal
  • Brandon Bye 75' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 17'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 29'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 33'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 43'