Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.