Major League Soccer

Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Montreal

Camilo Hernandez (17'), Nagbe (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sunusi (7')
Piette (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Portland
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	CF Montreal
70.64% ( 0.09)	17.36% ( -0.04)	12% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.18% (

0.06)

37.82% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.93% (

0.06)

60.07% (

-0.06)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.46% (

0.04)

9.54% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.05% (

0.08)

31.95% (

-0.09)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.62% (

-0.05)

42.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.24% (

-0.04)

78.76% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 70.64%

CF Montreal 12%

Draw 17.36%

Columbus Crew	Draw	CF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.64%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.36%	1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 12%