Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 64.49% ( | 19.22% ( | 16.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( | 36.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.11% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( | 10.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.27% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( | 35.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( | 72.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.29% |