Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Nov 8, 2023 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 18' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 18' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 38' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 38' goal
  • Xande Silva 45'+4' goal
  • Xande Silva 45'+4' goal
  • Xande Silva 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 83' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 83' goal
  • Thiago Almada 88' goal
  • Thiago Almada 88' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 41'
  • yellowcard Juan Camilo Hernandez 41'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 45'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 45'
  • goal Max Arfsten 90'+5'
  • goal Max Arfsten 90'+5'

Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 1, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 1, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Juan Camilo Hernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 46.65% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 21.87% ▲ (+0.17)
Columbus Crew 31.48% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.84% ▼ (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.14% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 31.86% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 46.6% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 3.5 53.4% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 4.5 27.69% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 4.5 72.31% ▲ (+1.09)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 85.66% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 14.34% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 57.81% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 1.5 42.19% ▲ (+0.60)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 79.2% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 0.5 20.8% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 1.5 46.53% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 1.5 53.47% ▲ (+1.17)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 46.65%
Draw 21.87%
Columbus Crew 31.48%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.87%
Columbus Crew
1-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Nov 1, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
Atlanta
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 45'+1' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 51' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 78' yellowcard
  • Diego Rossi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 25'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 71'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 77'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew
  • Miles Robinson 90'+7' goal
  • Miles Robinson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
  • goal Juan Camilo Hernandez 65'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
6
1
HT : 1 0
FT MAPFRE Stadium
Atlanta
  • Aidan Morris 14' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 47' goal
  • Philip Quinton 51' goal
  • Christian Ramirez 64' goal
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 68' goal
  • Max Arfsten 90'+1' goal
  • goal Brooks Lennon 71'
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atlanta
  • Artur 31' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne 51' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 66' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Jonathan Mensah 82' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Sosa 21'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 69'
  • goal Juan Sanchez 77'
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 80'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 29, 2022 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Columbus Crew
  • Marcelino Moreno 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Franco Ibarra 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 89' yellowcard
  • Dom Dwyer 90'+1' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Jonathan Mensah 1'
  • goal Erik Hurtado 45'
  • yellowcard William Sands 61'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Columbus Crew
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Atlanta
  • Jonathan Mensah 37' goal
  • Pedro Santos 90'+1' goal
  • Eloy Room 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 5'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 35'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 45'+3'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 65'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 66'

Form Data

Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Cincinnati 2 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 4 - 1 Montreal
DC United 1 - 1 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Atlanta
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Montreal
Atlanta 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
New England 1 - 2 Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Dallas 1 - 1 Columbus Crew