Major League Soccer

Nov 8, 2023 at 12am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 2
Columbus Crew

Giakoumakis (38', 38'), Silva (45+4', 45+4'), Mosquera (83', 83'), Almada (88', 88')
Giakoumakis (18'), Giakoumakis (18'), Silva (45+4'), Silva (45+4')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Camilo Hernandez (45', 45'), Arfsten (90+5', 90+5')
Camilo Hernandez (41'), Camilo Hernandez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
46.65% ( 0.26)	21.87% ( 0.17)	31.48% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 67.84% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.14% (

-1.03)

31.86% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.6% (

-1.22)

53.4% (

1.23)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

-0.3)

14.34% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81% (

-0.59)

42.19% (

0.6)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.72)

20.8% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

-1.15)

53.47% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 46.65%

Columbus Crew 31.48%

Draw 21.87%

Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.48%