Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alajuelense win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alajuelense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Alajuelense	Draw	New England Revolution
55.12% ( 0.72)	21.7% ( -0.03)	23.18% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 60.75% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.05% (

-0.64)

37.94% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.79% (

-0.68)

60.2% (

0.69)

Alajuelense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

0.01)

13.76% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.94% (

0.02)

41.06% (

-0.02)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.91)

29.55% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-1.13)

65.58% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Alajuelense 55.12%

New England Revolution 23.18%

Draw 21.7%

Alajuelense	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.57% Total : 55.12%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.18%