Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 5
America

Aguirre (7', 7')
Santamaria (2'), Santamaria (2'), Lozano (38'), Lozano (38')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Quinones (31', 31'), Martin (45+11' pen., 45+11' pen., 86', 86'), Zendejas (76', 76', 82', 82')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Atlas
Sunday, February 25 at 1am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
AtlasDrawClub America
26.02% (-2.222 -2.22)25.39% (0.071000000000002 0.07)48.59% (2.155 2.16)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-1.95 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-1.73 -1.73)51.48% (1.732 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-1.527 -1.53)73.29% (1.529 1.53)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (-2.671 -2.67)34.53% (2.675 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (-2.948 -2.95)71.25% (2.951 2.95)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.233 0.23)21.2% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.359 0.36)54.09% (-0.356 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 26.02%
    Club America 48.58%
    Draw 25.38%
AtlasDrawClub America
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.493 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.84 0.84)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.708 0.71)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.395 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.165 0.17)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.58%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 4
America
1-1
Atlas
Rodriguez (41')
Suarez (30')
Caicedo (23')
Santamaria (26'), Zapata (66'), Vargas (72'), Martinez (76')
Feb 26, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Atlas
2-2
America
Lozano (45+3', 68')
Rodriguez (31'), Martin (40')
Jul 3, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 1
America
0-0
Atlas
Martinez (40')
Jan 23, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
America
0-2
Atlas

Sanchez (77')
Vinas (78')
Barbosa (70')
Rocha (8'), Zaldivar (84')
Aug 15, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 4
Atlas
0-1
America

(1')
Cordova (77')
Aguilera (57')