Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 86.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Real Estelà had a probability of 4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 4-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.31%), while for a Real Estelà win it was 0-1 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.