CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Azteca
America2 - 0Real Estelí
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Club America and Real EstelÃ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 0-1 America
Sunday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Sunday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Real Estelà 2-1 America
Wednesday, February 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Wednesday, February 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 86.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Real Estelà had a probability of 4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 4-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.31%), while for a Real Estelà win it was 0-1 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Real Estelà |
| 86.88% ( | 9.12% | 4% |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.93% | 27.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.43% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.89% ( | 4.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.77% ( | 17.23% ( |
| Real Estelà Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.98% | 55.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.1% | 87.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Club America 86.87%
Real Estelà 4%
Draw 9.12%
| Club America | Draw | Real Estelà |
| 3-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 11.51% 4-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 5-0 @ 6.24% ( 4-1 @ 5.84% ( 5-1 @ 3.73% 6-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.19% 6-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.75% 7-0 @ 1.51% 5-2 @ 1.11% 7-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.32% Total : 86.87% | 1-1 @ 4.31% 0-0 @ 2.26% 2-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.49% Total : 9.12% | 0-1 @ 1.35% 1-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.36% Total : 4% |
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 3am
First Round 1st Leg
Real EstelÃ
2-1
America
Bonilla (7' pen.), Fletes (47')
Acevedo (49'), Lopez (86')
Acevedo (49'), Lopez (86')
Quinones (90')
Form Guide


