CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 0
Real Estelí

Rodriguez (18', 18'), Zendejas (54', 54')
Quinones (40'), Quinones (40'), Caceres (45+1'), Caceres (45+1'), Calderon (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lopez (30'), Lopez (30'), Medina (63'), Medina (63')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Club America and Real Estelí.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Estelí 2-1 America
Wednesday, February 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 86.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Real Estelí had a probability of 4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 4-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.31%), while for a Real Estelí win it was 0-1 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawReal Estelí
86.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)9.12%4%
Both teams to score 43.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93%27.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.89% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)4.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Real Estelí Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.98%55.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1%87.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Club America 86.87%
    Real Estelí 4%
    Draw 9.12%
Club AmericaDrawReal Estelí
3-0 @ 12.25%
2-0 @ 11.51%
4-0 @ 9.78%
3-1 @ 7.32%
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 3.73%
6-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.19%
6-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.75%
7-0 @ 1.51%
5-2 @ 1.11%
7-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 86.87%
1-1 @ 4.31%
0-0 @ 2.26%
2-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 9.12%
0-1 @ 1.35%
1-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 4%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 3am
First Round 1st Leg
Real Estelí
2-1
America
Bonilla (7' pen.), Fletes (47')
Acevedo (49'), Lopez (86')
Quinones (90')