CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Independencia

Real Estelí
2 - 1
America

Bonilla (7' pen., 7' pen.), Fletes (47', 47')
Acevedo (49'), Acevedo (49'), Lopez (86'), Lopez (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quinones (90', 90')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real Estelí and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Estelí

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-1 Monterrey
Sunday, February 4 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 88.99%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Real Estelí had a probability of 2.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (16.49%) and 0-1 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for a Real Estelí win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Real EstelíDrawClub America
2.21% (0.511 0.51)8.8% (1.201 1.2)88.99% (-1.707 -1.71)
Both teams to score 24.62% (2.236 2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-2.13 -2.13)38.87% (2.134 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-2.28 -2.28)61.19% (2.285 2.29)
Real Estelí Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.13% (2.557 2.56)73.87% (-2.553 -2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.75% (0.7279 0.73)96.25% (-0.724 -0.72)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.25% (-0.73100000000001 -0.73)5.75% (0.735 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.82% (-2.143 -2.14)22.18% (2.147 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Real Estelí 2.21%
    Club America 88.97%
    Draw 8.8%
Real EstelíDrawClub America
1-0 @ 1.29% (0.256 0.26)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 2.21%
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.415 0.42)
1-1 @ 3.68% (0.59 0.59)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 8.8%
0-2 @ 17.32% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 16.49% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.66 0.66)
0-4 @ 11.77% (-1.03 -1.03)
0-5 @ 6.72% (-0.941 -0.94)
1-2 @ 5.25% (0.632 0.63)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.391 0.39)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.122 0.12)
0-6 @ 3.2% (-0.622 -0.62)
1-5 @ 2.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.31% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-6 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 88.97%