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Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
48.46% (0.58600000000001 0.59)23.35% (-0.203 -0.2)28.19% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.687 0.69)41.1% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.695 0.7)63.49% (-0.69700000000001 -0.7)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.485 0.48)17.17% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.85 0.85)47.43% (-0.851 -0.85)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.44% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.112 0.11)62.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.46%
    FC Cincinnati 28.19%
    Draw 23.35%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
FC Cincinnati
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am