Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.