Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 27, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
America

Ferrareis (9', 9')
Gonzalez (66'), Gonzalez (66')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Reyes Chavez (21', 21', 45+3', 45+3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 3-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 20 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub America
14.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)17.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.77% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.08% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)31.85% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 14.26%
    Club America 67.77%
    Draw 17.98%
PueblaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.26%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.98%
0-2 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 67.77%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 2am
Gameweek 3
America
3-0
Puebla
Alvarez (35'), Suarez (45+2'), Quinones (87')
Caceres (89')

Robles (31')
Jan 22, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 3
America
2-2
Puebla
Oct 16, 2022 2.06am
America
5-1
Puebla
Rodriguez (21'), Martin (27'), Martinez (50'), Fidalgo (61'), Layun (85' pen.)
Araujo (35')
Oct 13, 2022 1.06am
Puebla
1-6
America
Cortizo (14')
Valdes (31'), Martin (33', 57')
Oct 1, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
1-2
America
rhs 2.0


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