Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.