Liga MX | Gameweek 7

Mar 24, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
4 - 3
Puebla

Edson (45', 45'), Garcia (52', 52', 62', 62'), Zaldivar (84', 84')
Orquin (26'), Orquin (26')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Cavallini (15', 15'), Ormeno (66', 66'), Sansores (89', 90')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, March 16 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Puebla
42.58% ( -1.1)	26.03% ( -0.81)	31.39% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 53% (

3.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

3.93)

51.25% (

-3.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

3.33)

73.08% (

-3.33)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

1.19)

23.88% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91% (

1.68)

58.08% (

-1.68)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

3.38)

30.37% (

-3.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

3.85)

66.57% (

-3.85)

Score Analysis

Juarez 42.57%

Puebla 31.39%

Draw 26.02%

Juarez	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -1.33) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.66) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.21) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.39%