Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.