Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 1
Toluca

Garcia (39', 39')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Angulo (16', 16')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 3-2 Juarez
Sunday, March 3 at 1am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawToluca
29.37% (0.208 0.21)24.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.16% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.08% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (0.151 0.15)45.45% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.145 0.15)67.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)28.83% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.275 0.27)64.69% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)19.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 29.37%
    Toluca 46.16%
    Draw 24.46%
JuarezDrawToluca
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.37%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Toluca
2-4
Juarez
Morales (20'), Volpi (70' pen.)
Volpi (28'), Ruiz (35')
Araujo (28')
Urzi (18'), Saucedo (64'), Escoto (77'), Garcia (90+6')
Chavez (45+6'), Saucedo (50'), Pasquel Colin (86')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Juarez
Volpi (45+4' pen.)
Chavez (69')
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-0
Juarez
Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Meneses (90+2')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Toluca
0-1
Juarez
Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Garcia (66')